Sporting Macau vs Windsor Arch Ka I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CLU
1 - 8
SMA
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
BEN
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
PSP
0 - 0
SMA
38%
24%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
SMA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
PSP
0 - 5
SMA
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
WAK
2 - 1
CPK
57%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
WAK
6 - 1
CLU
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
WAK
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
PSP
1 - 3
WAK
34%
23%
44%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
KLM
0 - 6
WAK
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |