Sporting Macau vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-104%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
SMA
4 - 0
PSP
90%
8%
2%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
WAK
2 - 1
SMA
58%
20%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 2
CHF
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 2
SMA
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
PSP
93%
6%
2%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
CHF
3 - 1
BEN
8%
13%
79%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 0
HSA
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
CPK
2 - 1
BEN
33%
23%
45%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
MCA
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |