Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-111%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BEN
7 - 1
SMA
76%
13%
11%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
CPO
53%
21%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 2
PSP
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CPK
7 - 0
SMA
71%
15%
14%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
TCK
44%
22%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
MCA
2 - 2
LUL
55%
19%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
HSA
0 - 3
MCA
31%
21%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TCK
3 - 1
MCA
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 4
CHF
42%
22%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 6
BEN
34%
20%
46%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |