Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-117%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
SMA
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 0
CHF
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 5
BEN
44%
21%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 2
CPK
16%
18%
66%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -5 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
6 - 0
LAI
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +5 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 3
MCA
41%
21%
39%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
5 - 0
ALF
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 1
CHF
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -14 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 2
BEN
56%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +13 |