Sporting Macau vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
-108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
CFC
5 - 0
SMA
56%
19%
25%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
SHA
13 - 0
SMA
81%
12%
8%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
CFC
3 - 1
SMA
43%
20%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CHF
6 - 0
SMA
83%
12%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BEN
4 - 0
SMA
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
FJH
8 - 0
LUL
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
HSA
7 - 2
LUL
65%
17%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
SHA
9 - 0
LUL
70%
16%
15%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
CFC
4 - 2
LUL
17%
17%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 2
CHF
16%
19%
66%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |