Sporting Macau vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-108%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
9 - 0
SMA
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 8
FJH
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 2
HSA
31%
21%
48%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
CPK
8 - 0
SMA
89%
7%
4%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 4
FJH
36%
21%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
BEN
3 - 0
LUL
89%
7%
4%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 5
UNI
26%
21%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
0 - 7
CPK
10%
13%
76%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
FJH
3 - 0
LUL
51%
20%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 6
CHF
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |