Sporting Macau vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 2
HSA
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 6
FJH
80%
12%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
CPK
10 - 0
SMA
91%
6%
3%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BEN
3 - 0
SMA
92%
6%
3%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
LUL
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
3 - 1
MCA
13%
16%
72%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 10
CPK
11%
14%
75%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
HSA
2 - 1
LUL
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LUL
5 - 0
HSA
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |