Sporting Lucense vs SD Becerrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
77.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 2
SLU
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
CHA
47%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
SLU
74%
15%
10%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 2
QUI
19%
21%
60%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
SLU
81%
12%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SD Becerrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
BRO
5 - 1
BEC
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEC
2 - 2
CLU
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BEC
5 - 1
ANT
60%
20%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEC
0 - 0
CHA
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
INC
1 - 3
BEC
13%
17%
71%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |