Sporting Lucense vs Paradela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SLU
1 - 1
SRO
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MIL
6 - 1
SLU
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 3
BEC
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 2
SLU
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
BRO
37%
24%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paradela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 2
BRO
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SLA
4 - 1
PAR
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
4 - 3
FRI
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
GUN
36%
24%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |