Sporting Lucense vs Palas C.D. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 0
SLU
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 3
SLA
17%
21%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 0
SLU
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SLU
0 - 2
SRO
34%
24%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
INC
3 - 0
SLU
72%
16%
12%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Palas C.D.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
ANT
47%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAL
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
FER
34%
23%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 0
PAL
32%
24%
44%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
BEC
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |