Sporting Lucense vs Ferreira C.F. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
SLU
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 4
GUN
28%
24%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 1
OUR
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RSI
0 - 3
SLU
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SRO
0 - 1
SLU
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ferreira C.F.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
OUR
69%
17%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSI
0 - 3
FER
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FER
2 - 0
SRO
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 1
FER
44%
22%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BEC
1 - 1
FER
40%
22%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |