Sporting Lucense vs Corgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
3 - 3
SDO
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 2
SLU
52%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SLU
1 - 2
ANT
37%
24%
38%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MIL
3 - 3
SLU
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PAL
7 - 0
SLU
27%
23%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
SDO
3 - 0
COR
74%
15%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
PAR
31%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ANT
3 - 2
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
MIL
28%
24%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
PAL
50%
23%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |