Sporting Lucense vs Corgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
48.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+768%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
SLU
73%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
SLU
31%
21%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SLU
0 - 1
BOV
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
OUR
2 - 3
SLU
53%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SLU
2 - 2
BRO
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Corgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
COR
2 - 2
GUN
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COR
4 - 3
SLA
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 2
COR
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
COR
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
COR
5 - 2
MON
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |