Sporting Lucense vs Carballedo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 1
SLU
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 2
CLU
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SRO
3 - 2
SLU
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SLU
2 - 0
INC
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BRO
3 - 0
SLU
50%
22%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Carballedo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 4
ANT
35%
22%
43%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
CAR
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
FER
20%
20%
61%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
QUI
3 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
PAL
11%
17%
73%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | +1 |