Sporting CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
67%
18%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 0
SCP
60%
23%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 1
SCP
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 1
BEL
45%
31%
25%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACA
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
SAL
2 - 1
VAR
54%
28%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
VAR
1 - 0
RIO
49%
29%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |