Sporting CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
20%
25%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 0
SPB
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SLB
5 - 0
SCP
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
BOA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VST
1 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
3 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
VAR
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |