UCL Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 5-1
Sporting CP vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 2
SCP
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SCP
1 - 0
FIO
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
SCP
31%
24%
44%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SCP
2 - 1
MON
33%
24%
44%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STB
1 - 1
AST
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
STB
1 - 1
CSM
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
STB
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VKP
1 - 4
STB
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
STB
1 - 1
CSU
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |