Sporting CP vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 0
SCP
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
FCP
4 - 1
SCP
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
SCP
4 - 2
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
21%
23%
57%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MFF
2 - 1
DJU
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2003 |
HEL
0 - 0
MFF
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
MFF
3 - 2
OIF
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
POR
0 - 2
MFF
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
HAL
0 - 4
MFF
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |