Sporting CP vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.2%
Win probability
4.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.5%
10-1
0.5%
+9
2%
8-0
2.8%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
4%
7-0
4.8%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
7%
6-0
7.1%
7-1
3.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.9%
5-0
9%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.9%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
3.5%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
3.4%
1.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
FCP
4 - 1
SCP
34%
20%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
SCP
8 - 1
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
3 - 6
SCP
15%
17%
69%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
ATL
36%
23%
41%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1948 |
VIT
3 - 2
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
VST
44%
22%
34%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
12%
10%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |