Sporting CP vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
POR
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
SPB
2 - 3
SCP
28%
28%
45%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
BOH
0 - 0
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
SCP
4 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
BOA
2 - 2
SCP
26%
28%
46%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
KAI
4 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
BYM
2 - 0
KAI
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
KAI
5 - 1
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
DAR
4 - 0
KAI
34%
22%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
KAI
4 - 2
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |