Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 6-1
Sporting CP vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 1
RIO
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
SCP
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
OLP
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
GET
1 - 0
SCP
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 4
AGF
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ESB
0 - 0
ACH
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 4
AAB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ELF
2 - 3
ACH
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |