Europa League 1/64
Global 4-6
Sporting CP vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
SCP
24%
26%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SCP
2 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
INT
2 - 0
SCP
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
15%
21%
65%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
SCP
5 - 1
LEX
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
6 - 2
ČUK
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
SUT
0 - 1
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
BYM
3 - 1
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
5 - 2
RAD
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
RAD
1 - 2
PAR
8%
16%
76%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |