Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCP
9%
17%
73%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SCP
0 - 5
MAC
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
43%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAM
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 1
GFC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
LAZ
2 - 2
FCP
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
FCP
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
LAZ
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
43%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |