Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2005 |
SCP
1 - 0
MID
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SCP
0 - 2
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2005 |
MID
2 - 3
SCP
45%
26%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
SCP
4 - 0
EST
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
INT
3 - 1
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 4
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 2
FCP
17%
26%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |