Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
SCP
20%
25%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACV
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
BMA
1 - 2
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
BAN
1 - 0
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
SCP
3 - 0
FAM
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FCP
0 - 0
BOA
81%
12%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 1
AEK
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 1
MAR
94%
5%
2%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |