UCL Last 16
Global 2-4
Sporting CP vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
FAB
0 - 2
SCP
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
CZJ
2 - 1
SCP
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
56%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
CZJ
4 - 1
ERF
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
BWA
1 - 0
CZJ
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
CZJ
2 - 1
SCP
73%
17%
11%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
CZJ
2 - 1
ROS
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
FCU
0 - 0
CZJ
23%
27%
50%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |