Sporting CP vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
4º
14º
4º
46
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
85 | 85 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SCP
3 - 0
RIO
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 3
SCP
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 1
WOL
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 1
SEV
43%
27%
30%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
VIZ
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
CHA
6%
16%
79%
|
71 | 34 | 37 | 0 |