Sporting CP vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
5 - 1
VST
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
9 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
2 - 3
BEL
64%
17%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
4 - 0
LEX
58%
21%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
VST
39%
23%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
4 - 2
CAR
88%
8%
5%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |