Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 3-2
Sporting CP vs Brøndby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCN
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
FCN
0 - 1
SCP
29%
27%
45%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 1
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BIF
1 - 1
ESB
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 3
BIF
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
BIF
1 - 0
BUD
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
BIF
1 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
BUD
1 - 2
BIF
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |