Taça de Portugal Knock-outs Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
SCP
16%
22%
63%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 1
YOB
63%
20%
18%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
YOB
1 - 3
SCP
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
45%
23%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLB
4 - 0
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 0
SLB
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SLB
6 - 1
VIZ
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SLB
2 - 1
TFC
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |