Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TON
1 - 3
SCP
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
SCP
11%
18%
70%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 0
SCP
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 3
SLB
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
SLB
1 - 3
LIV
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 2
SLB
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |