Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 3
SCP
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SCP
1 - 0
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 2
SCP
10%
19%
71%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SCP
3 - 1
POR
71%
18%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
SCP
12%
20%
69%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SLB
1 - 0
TON
84%
11%
4%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 4
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SLB
3 - 0
DZG
57%
23%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
SLB
2 - 2
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
DZG
1 - 0
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |