Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
SCP
4 - 1
PAM
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
NEW
1 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
20%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SCP
0 - 0
SPB
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 3
SCP
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
4 - 1
ADO
94%
5%
1%
|
86 | 40 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2004 |
KSK
0 - 3
SLB
24%
24%
53%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |