Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 0
SCP
27%
25%
49%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
BOA
2 - 1
SCP
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SCP
4 - 0
EST
81%
15%
5%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 3
SCP
24%
25%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SLB
3 - 1
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
SPB
0 - 3
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 1
PAÇ
74%
18%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
ALV
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |