Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 4
SCP
17%
18%
65%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
SCP
2 - 3
VST
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
7%
12%
82%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 0
OLI
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
BOA
1 - 0
SCP
7%
12%
81%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
SLB
5 - 2
SLE
93%
4%
2%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
OLH
1 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
SLB
4 - 0
FCP
81%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
23%
21%
55%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
ATL
1 - 1
SLB
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |