Sporting CP vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
VST
2 - 1
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
33%
26%
42%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ACA
1 - 5
SCP
24%
26%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1977 |
NAN
2 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 1
LYO
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |