Sporting CP vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCP
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
5 - 0
ACH
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
SCP
0 - 1
RIO
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 0
SCP
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AMR
1 - 6
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 21 | 64 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CLU
1 - 0
BAS
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
CLU
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |