Europa League 1/16
Global 5-0
Sporting CP vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
3 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
3 - 0
BMA
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 0
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 1
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 0
STA
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 1
NEX
73%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |