Sporting CP vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
AST
1 - 3
SCP
30%
23%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
2 - 0
FEI
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
1 - 0
SCP
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
AST
1 - 3
SCP
30%
23%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
AST
3 - 0
SHA
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
HÄC
2 - 0
AST
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
AST
0 - 1
ZIL
45%
24%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
KRA
1 - 3
AST
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |