Sporting CP vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 1
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 1
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 2
SCP
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIZ
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AJA
9%
16%
74%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 4
PSV
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |