Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SCP
4 - 0
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SCP
3 - 1
VST
76%
17%
8%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
FAT
1 - 0
ACA
21%
22%
57%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
18%
25%
57%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |