Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SCP
4 - 0
PAÇ
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
62%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
63%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
SCP
0 - 1
FCP
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
BOA
4 - 1
ACA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
3 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |