Sporting Lieşti vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
1º
34
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
8º
|
91.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
91.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Lieşti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RAM
0 - 2
SPO
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 3
TSE
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 1
SPO
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 3
FOC
18%
24%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VCU
1 - 2
SPO
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AER
1 - 0
SSG
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DUB
1 - 4
AER
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RAM
2 - 1
AER
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AER
1 - 3
CSM
26%
26%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AER
1 - 1
CSM
26%
26%
48%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |