S. Lanzahita vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Lanzahita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
2 - 0
SPO
33%
22%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 3
FCN
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 1
TIE
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAM
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
HOY
1 - 4
SPO
6%
12%
82%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
5 - 1
ATL
23%
21%
57%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARE
40%
22%
39%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 3
ATL
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 0
HOY
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |