Sporting L E B vs Settalese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting L E B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
COD
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 2
LUI
10%
17%
74%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RIV
5 - 1
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 3
CAL
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REA
7 - 2
SPO
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Settalese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SET
0 - 1
SOR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
SET
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SET
4 - 1
VIG
81%
12%
6%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 1
SET
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SET
3 - 1
CAL
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |