Sporting L E B vs Rivoltana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting L E B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 1
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
REA
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LUI
4 - 2
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 2
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Rivoltana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
SOR
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
PAU
35%
24%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
ATL
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
RIV
81%
12%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 1
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |