Sporting L E B vs Paullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting L E B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
OFF
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 3
CAL
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SOR
2 - 2
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 3
VIG
9%
16%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TRI
6 - 0
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Paullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 0
LUI
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
SOR
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 4
ATL
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
TRI
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SET
1 - 0
PAU
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |