Sporting L E B vs Gessate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting L E B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
OFF
5 - 1
SPO
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPO
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 2
SOR
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATL
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gessate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GES
3 - 1
SOR
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
GES
16%
20%
63%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
GES
1 - 2
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 1
GES
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GES
0 - 0
TRI
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |