Sporting L E B vs Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
74%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting L E B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REA
7 - 2
SPO
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 3
FAR
15%
20%
66%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SPO
66%
18%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 3
GES
9%
16%
75%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
SPO
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 2
SOR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 1
CAL
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |