Sporting Hortaleza vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
43.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
TOB
3 - 2
SHO
53%
23%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 0
SSR
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UZN
1 - 2
SHO
79%
13%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 3
CPO
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 0
SHO
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 3
CDV
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SFN
5 - 2
TOB
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
SFN
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SFN
2 - 1
SSR
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
SFN
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |